Posted by Good job model! The model predicted 95, and King County came in at 109. Very similar situation to last Sunday: ~70% of infections were from the previous day, and the remainder were spread out over the past 3 weeks (for reference, last Sunday reported 121 infections).
While the polynomial model is still really strong with an r-squared of .7722, I wonder if we’re going to see something very similar to Italy and other countries just a little ahead of us: A plateau vs. a sharp decline in infections. My guess is that we’ll see reported infection numbers come in between 50 and 150 for the next few weeks.
The model say 92 for tomorrow. Usually Mondays are low days coming off of the weekend, so I’ll take the “under.”
